Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato is set for May 17, 2025, as a main card light heavyweight bout at UFC Vegas 106, held at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas. This matchup pits a seasoned veteran against a rising prospect, each with distinct fighting styles and backgrounds.
Paul Craig vs. Rodolfo Bellato – Odds
Rodolfo Bellato is a strong betting favorite over Paul Craig for their upcoming UFC Vegas 106 bout. As of the week of the fight, Bellato’s odds are around -500, meaning you’d need to bet $500 to win $100 if he wins, while Craig is a significant underdog at +380, so a $100 bet on him would return $380 if he pulls off the upset. These odds translate to an implied win probability of about 80% for Bellato and 20% for Craig. To play more odds and games, check out Casino Bonus CA.
The odds have remained relatively stable since opening, with Bellato consistently favored at around 2/7 (-340) to -500, and Craig ranging from +260 to +380 as the underdog. There hasn’t been notable line movement leading up to fight week, indicating that bettors and bookmakers alike have maintained confidence in Bellato’s chances.
As for the method of victory, Bellato is seen as more likely to win by knockout, given his higher knockout percentage (58% of his wins by KO) compared to Craig’s 24%. Paul Craig’s best path to victory, according to his history, would be by submission, as 13 of his 17 wins have come that way, but the odds suggest this outcome is considered less likely.
The stakes for this fight are significant for both men. For Paul Craig, it’s a chance to halt his recent losing streak and reestablish himself as a contender at light heavyweight. For Bellato, it’s an opportunity to claim a veteran scalp and accelerate his rise in the UFC ranks. Stylistically, fans can expect Craig to look for grappling exchanges and submissions, while Bellato, who has shown finishing ability, may aim to keep the fight standing or use his own grappling to neutralize Craig’s strengths.
Rodolfo Bellato hails from Brazil and enters the fight with a record of 12 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. After an initial setback on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2022, Bellato rebounded with regional wins, secured a UFC contract, and made a strong debut by finishing Ihor Potieria. He followed that with a majority draw against Jimmy Crute in February 2025, showing promise as a new addition to the division.
