Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano is a pivotal lightweight matchup set for June 29, 2025, on the main card of a UFC event. Both fighters are 35 years old, similar in height and reach, and bring elite grappling backgrounds, but their recent trajectories and fighting styles set up an intriguing clash.
Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano – Odds and Match Preview
The betting odds for Beneil Dariush vs. Renato Moicano have consistently favored Moicano as the fight approaches. Early lines opened with Moicano as a moderate favorite, typically around -167 to -184 (meaning you’d need to bet about $170–$184 to win $100), while Dariush was listed as an underdog in the +133 to +150 range (bet $100 to win $133–$150).
As the fight nears , these odds remained fairly steady, reflecting bettors’ confidence in Moicano’s recent form and momentum. To play a different set of odds and games check out online slots.
Bookmakers and analysts point to several factors influencing these odds. Moicano is riding a strong win streak, with four straight victories and impressive performances in 2024, including stoppages over Jalin Turner and Benoît Saint Denis. Dariush, meanwhile, is coming off two consecutive first-round knockout losses and has not fought since late 2023, which has raised concerns about his current form and durability. While Dariush has faced tougher competition overall, the betting public and experts see Moicano’s current momentum as the deciding factor.
For method of victory, most predictions lean toward the fight ending inside the distance, meaning a finish rather than a decision, because both fighters have high finishing rates and recent fights that didn’t go the distance. Moicano is seen as more likely to win by submission or TKO, given his recent stoppages and aggressive style, while Dariush’s best path is thought to be a decision or a submission if he can control the grappling exchanges.
The stakes are high: Dariush, ranked No. 9, is fighting to prove he’s still among the elite in the UFC, while No. 12-ranked Moicano is aiming to break into the division’s upper echelon and push for a title opportunity. Moicano has been vocal about his confidence, claiming he’s better than Dariush in every area and is determined not to lose, both for his career momentum and his paycheck. Dariush, meanwhile, is motivated to show he still has what it takes at the top level.
This is a classic crossroads fight at UFC 317: a gritty, well-rounded veteran looking for redemption versus a surging contender eager to seize his moment. Expect a battle of high-level grappling, sharp striking, and serious intensity, with the winner moving one step closer to lightweight title contention.
